Decline in a country’s exports is a significant issue, however, it is not something that can’t be resolved.
A country’s exports typically decline for one of two primary reasons: either there is a worldwide economic slowdown or an economic recession in the regions that import goods and services from the country in question. Low demand on the global market or consumers finding the same products at lower rates from other suppliers could be other factors. A reduction in exports may also be brought on by a change in international trade regulations and rising transportation costs. Exchange rates, production, and supply chain concerns could all contribute to the situation.
In examining Pakistan’s persistent trade imbalance, key factors that are hindering exports are high effective import tariff rates, limited availability of long-term financing for firms to expand export capacity, inadequate provision of market intelligence services for exporters, and low productivity of Pakistani firms.
This falling export share has implications for foreign exchange, jobs, and productivity growth. At the firm-level, the decline is consistent with low entry rates into exporting, and exporters that struggle to expand over their life cycle.
Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on Wednesday directed authorities to abolish all taxes on raw materials used in the export industry and form task forces to attract investment in multiple sectors.
The prime minister has sought recommendations from the committee headed by Commerce Minister Naveed Qamar within 14 days. The prime minister further directed the secretary of commerce as well as the secretary of the Board of Investment to ensure immediate resolution of the issues faced by the investors and sought a compliance report within a week.
According to a report issued by the PBS, the exports declined by 3.07 percent and 3.77 percent on a monthly and annual basis respectively. From July to December this fiscal year, exports declined by 5.79 percent, while in December exports dropped 16.64 percent on a yearly basis. The exports dropped by 3.64 percent in the month of December.
The PBS, in its report, stated that the exports in October decreased by 3.07 percent to $2.37 million as compared to September ($2.44 million). Pakistan’s exports dropped by 3.83% in September in comparison to August 2022 while imports dropped by 13.21%.
Pakistan needs an integrated and long-term reform strategy for fixing the export challenge that will require coordination across government agencies at federal and provincial levels to harmonize policy decisions, institutional strengthening to ensure effective implementation and active public-private sector dialogue to secure the broadest support to reforms.