The delay in the assemblies especially in Punjab shows that there is a difference between the PTI and PML-Q on the dissolution. Imran Khan had announced his decision at the end of the ‘long march’ in Rawalpindi on November 26, thinking it would compel the PML-N-led coalition to hold snap polls at a time when his popularity appeared to be increasing.
However, it now seems that he faces growing opposition from within his own party and is unable to convince his ally Chief Minister Chaudhry Parvez Elahi of the PML-Q, who is reluctant to give up power.
PTI leader Fawad Chaudhry might have sounded a warning that the CM would have to agree to the Punjab Assembly’s dissolution if he wanted to contest the next elections as a PTI ally. However, he may not have considered that the two branches of the wily Chaudhrys of Gujrat know better than the PTI when to turn where in Pakistani politics. Despite repeated reassurances from both the CM and his son Moonis Elahi, chances are that the PML-Q may not comply when and if Mr Khan actually gives the call. The recent contacts between Chaudhry Shujaat and Pervaiz Elahi confirmed by Moonis Elahi have raised new questions.
Well-versed in the treacherous politics of Punjab, the PML-N has been quick to pick up the signals. Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah has challenged Imran Khan to go ahead with the dissolution of the two provincial assemblies. Nevertheless, this is not a dead end for Mr Khan. Anything is possible in politics and a politician will always find a way out of a critical situation.
One way out for Mr Khan would be to initiate formal, direct talks with the ruling PDM, instead of involving the presidency and find a middle path acceptable to both the government and opposition, rather than insisting on snap polls and putting the collapsing economy under more stress.
