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Home Opinion & Editorial Opinion

Growing regional uncertainty

Ambassador Dr. Jamil by Ambassador Dr. Jamil
November 17, 2022

The regional situation has changed rapidly since the Biden administration came to power in the United States, with far-reaching effects. The focus of US foreign policy and attention since the Biden administration has been on countering China’s influence, climate change, and the coronavirus.

The Biden administration has quickly managed to contain the coronavirus, and the US administration has made significant progress on the issue of climate change. At the time, the Biden administration’s foreign policy was working hard to stop China from growing, and the main reason for the growing blackouts in the region as tensions between the United States and China and US measures to stop China from growing. It would not be out of place and of course, many countries would be forced to join the tensions between the two great powers even if they did not want to.

Efforts are being made to strengthen India to curb China’s role in the region and in this direction, since the Obama administration there have been four key defense agreements under which all kinds of military facilities are being provided to India so that India is defensively strong. India also thinks that with this kind of help from the United States, it will be able to restore its lost credibility on the Ladakh border.

The issue does not end there, but the United States had earlier signed the Oaks military agreement in which the United States, Australia, and the United Kingdom, while the previous quadripartite agreement, which is said to be economic and trade in nature, but this agreement is also an apparent ploy against China.

The real issue here is the Caucasus Agreement of the major military powers and the escalation of tensions due to the deployment of nuclear submarines by the United States, Australia, and Britain in the region’s territorial waters, while the sudden withdrawal of the United States from Afghanistan. Al Qaeda, ISIS, and other terrorist organizations have a chance to flourish while these organizations have also started recruiting militants again.

The United Nations is well aware and concerned about the reactivation of terrorist organizations in the region. The hasty withdrawal of the United States from Afghanistan has eroded the confidence of other countries in the region in the United States She has turned to Israel. It is true that the United States and Israel have a close relationship, but it is also true that Israel has many more interests in the region than the United States.

Greater Israel’s motives behind Israel’s expansion of influence in the region will be covered in a later post, but suffice it to say that the manner in which the United States has withdrawn from Afghanistan against the wishes of its allies has also turned the states towards Israel instead of the United States.

Terrorist groups in the region fear that the Gulf countries will become more powerful after the Taliban’s domination of Afghanistan and they believe that the United States has failed to control Iran and the Taliban but Israel is a force that can stop Iran from advancing. The reason for the decline in the ongoing feud between Qatar and other Gulf states is that unless the Gulf states reduce their differences, the risks to them will increase.

Assessing the effects on Pakistan due to the situation in the region, Israel’s preparations for an attack on Iran are also clear and in such a case it is quite possible to raise voices in Pakistan as well because the government in Pakistan due to voices supporting Iran’s position may face serious difficulties.

Ironically, Pakistan’s support for the Taliban has not yielded significant results, however, now it is the turn of the Taliban to tear down the border fence erected by Pakistan at the cost of huge capital and human lives on the border and have resumed talks against Durand Line as before and openly opposed. This suggests that in the days to come, Pakistan will be able to integrate and focus on its diplomatic resources as well as the personal connections of the tribal forces and key individuals and develop a national foreign and security policy to engage the Taliban in other ways. Should also be encouraged to respect the boundaries.

This is a difficult task and this issue will start to increase the tension in the bilateral relations and we have to keep an eye on India in this regard so that it does not get close to the Afghan Taliban taking advantage of the situation which resulted in Pakistan as before.  

Translated by: MM News Editorial Team

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