ISLAMABAD: The Imperial College London’s algorithm has cautioned that the total death toll in Pakistan from COVID-19 would be crossed 2,132,617 if the lockdown was not imposed then 2,229,000 deaths will occur in Pakistan by January 26, 2021.
The research is sponsored by the UK government which shows the projected deaths from COVID-19 in case of a lockdown or otherwise in different countries, except the US and the UK.
According to research, if Pakistan imposes a 32 percent lockdown to limit the spread of COVID-19 from February 27 to July 11, i.e. for 135 days, then August 04 will be the peak day with 13,570,000 people will be affected.
The worst day for Pakistan concerning COVID-19 deaths is likely on August 10 and deaths are expected to reach 78,515 after which deaths will start witnessing decrease.
The findings of the research indicated January 2021 will witness an end to COVID-19 in Pakistan. It further said if complete lockdown was imposed in Pakistan immediately, then the death toll may be restricted to about 10,200 by the end period.
By Jan 25, 2021, in India, total deaths would be expected 14,244,379 without lockdown, while with intervention it would be 13,649,520. In Afghanistan, total deaths by Feb 19, 2021, would be 313,531 without intervention. While with intervention the figure would be 305,350.
The figures given by the Imperial College are just a simulation and not a prediction.
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